trader tom logo
about trader tomcontact
HOME ANALYSIS NEWS ARCHIVES ARTICLES
Sign up to my FREE Newsletter & Trade Alert here

To update site, press [shift] F5 on your keyboard.

 

 

 

 

The end of an era.... thank you!!

extended updates will start Monday 1st March 09. Live trading service will start shortly too.

 

I will update my sheet shortly, but I am short Cable from 1.4565

 

sp500 - key level

 

23rd Feb 09 - 09:19am update

 

I have taken my position off in the GBP JPY. It is still a shorting candidate. I am looking to put my position on any weakness in the 15 min chart. Chart below shows double top, and the geometry shown on chart lower down the page.

 

22 Feb 09: 23:36pm

The Dow chart looks awful. Consider though that we have moved down 8 days from a top, 13 days from a low, 21 days from a low and 34 days from a top. I am somewhat optimistic that we will see a bounce, but I am not actually a brave enough man to put it on just yet. It is almost midnight, and I have no idea how the Asian markets will pan out.

 

 

22 Feb 09: 23:34pm

STERLING YEN CHART - Potential reversal pattern>

A Gartley pattern is forming into a 78.6 (if you can ignore the spike).....

I am selling short at 134.60 with a stop at 135.80. The stop is wide and I am using a very small probing position to begin with, which I will add to as the position proves me right.

Sterling Yen chart - showing reversal potential

 

 

22nd February 2009 - 23:14pm

 

Good morning and welcome back to a new week,

I found this great quote on Yahoo during the evenings research:

"European leaders agreed on Sunday to push for .. strict new regulation of hedge funds as part of a sweeping overhaul of financial rules designed to prevent future market meltdowns".

Thats great. Maybe while we are at it, we can impose new rules to prevent speeding, obesity, smoking, drug abuse, and why not add divorces, promiscuity, and insider trading to it. Hey, why not impose rules against draught, famine, floods and hurricances?

You think I am joking? I had a conversation with the Matrix man back in 2003, where he showed me why 2008 would be such an important year for the global markets. The fact of the matter is that we are living in a cyclical world, but our leaders can't tolerate that. It is better to be seen to do something than to do nothing.

We will start off with a history lesson. We will call it "Media Market Timing", spanning 4 decades. It is as often is on this site courtecy Larry Pesavento, a true market master, and a great friend. The media is often a great contrary indicator. Here are some front pages from the last 4 decades:

Media Market Timing in the 1970's:

Media Market Timing in the 1970's

 

Media Market Timing in the 1980's:

 

Media Market Timing 1980's

 

Media Market Timing in the 1990's:

Media Market Timing 1990

Media Market Timing in the 2000's:

Media Market Timing

 

Open Swing Trades & Open Orders: week 23rd February 2009
                 
Open Trades              
Instrument
Direction
Time
Date
Entry Price
 
Stop
Exit
Result
                 
                 
Open Orders
 
Instrument
Direction
Price
Stop
Target
       
             
                 
Closed Trades              
Instrument
Direction
Time
Date
Entry Price
 
Stop
Exit
Result
                 
                 
              Total:

 

CLOSED SWING POSITIONS
Instrument
Type
Date
Entry Price
  Exit
Status
Result
DAX March
LONG
26 Jan 09 - 09:00
4162
   
CLOSED
+411 points
GBP EUR
LONG
26 Jan 09 - 08:15
1.0595
   
CLOSED
+970 points
GBP EUR
SHORT
6th Feb 09 - 08:37
1.1525
   
CLOSED
+20 points
DAX
SHORT
6th Feb 09 - 13:52
4596
   
CLOSED
minus 33
GBP EUR
SHORT
10/02/09 - filled order
1.1524
   
CLOSED
+ 495 points
DAX
SHORT
10/02/09 - filled order
4625
   
CLOSED
+ 96 points
GBP USD
SHORT
18/02/09 - 07:25am
1.4280
CLOSED
+ 30 points
GBP USD
SHORT
18/02/09 - 11:32am
1.4228
CLOSED
minus 22
GBP EUR
SHORT
18/02/09 - 12:10pm
1.1270
CLOSED
minus 80
               
            TOTAL + 1887 points

NOTES displayed in archive section

Kind regards and happy trading

Tom Hougaard

www.tradertom.com

Stay Hungry

Powered by zanet accessible web designs . home | privacy policy | copyright notice | disclaimer